Behavior cohorts
Captured trading patterns and return windows.
Recorded public API observations
Recording enabled- Recording started
- Last successful capture
- Last completed account scan
Public API observations with incomplete coverage. First capture is not account age.
Capture cohort
- Sampled wallets
- 100
- Capped histories
- 0
- Window coverage unknown
- 100
- Baseline unavailable
- 100
Up to 100 wallets · sample capped · As of
Observed trading returns
Wallets with captured closes in each 24-hour return window. Baseline starts at the first captured close; rates need proven window coverage.
| Observed group | Wallets | Day 1 | Day 7 | Day 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All sampled walletsEvery sampled wallet, including withdrawn or inactive wallets. | 100 | 0 capturedCoverage unknown0 immature; 100 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close | 0 capturedCoverage unknown0 immature; 100 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close | 0 capturedCoverage unknown0 immature; 100 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close |
| Short observed holdsAt least five baseline holding intervals; median at most 60 seconds. | 0 | —No wallets0 immature; 0 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close | —No wallets0 immature; 0 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close | —No wallets0 immature; 0 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close |
| High observed leverageAt least five baseline supported closes; median leverage at least 20×. | 0 | —No wallets0 immature; 0 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close | —No wallets0 immature; 0 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close | —No wallets0 immature; 0 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close |
| Opposite-side overlap candidatesOpposite-side intervals on one instrument both closed within baseline. Not proof of a hedge. | 0 | —No wallets0 immature; 0 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close | —No wallets0 immature; 0 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close | —No wallets0 immature; 0 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close |
| Unclassified / uncertain baselineUnknown anchor, immature baseline, too few closes, or no qualifying pattern. Open or later-closing legs cannot classify a wallet. | 100 | 0 capturedCoverage unknown0 immature; 100 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close | 0 capturedCoverage unknown0 immature; 100 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close | 0 capturedCoverage unknown0 immature; 100 unknown coverage; 0 without a baseline close |
Sampling and coverage
Capture day is the wallet’s first PaperDash observation, not account age. Trading baseline begins at its earliest supported close in the inspected archive, not its first-ever trade. Pre-deposit captures do not start the trading baseline.
Group rules use closes completed within 24 hours of that first captured close; later-closing trades never enter classification. Open legs are unknown. 100 anchors are uncertain; 0 baseline windows are still forming. Capped, pending, ambiguous and immature baselines stay unclassified.
The sample contains up to 100 wallets in address order and 101 recent event revisions per wallet. Inactive and withdrawn wallets remain included. It is not a representative population estimate and is never selected by profit or balance.
Day 1, 7 and 30 each cover 24 hours from the first captured close. A captured return counts only after that window matures. Groups may overlap; comparisons show no causal effect or profitability.
A scan’s final fetch time cannot prove full-window coverage. The archive lacks a completed scan-start watermark, so return-rate denominators remain unavailable. Missing closes are unknown, not proof of inactivity. Polling a wallet again never counts as trading activity.
Farming economics
Payback, efficiency rankings and economic alerts are unavailable until cashflows, attributed rewards and stake exposure are reconciled.
Farming efficiency readinessRequired evidence and alert types
PAPER, trading PnL, queued claims and staking income remain separate. A partial income slice cannot establish payback. Alerts also need current evidence and opt-in delivery.
- Official deployment verified — missing
- Financial decoder reviewed — missing
- Canonical paid-cash ledger reconciled — missing
- Complete positions and terminal outcomes — missing
- Reward claims attributed to the earning stake — missing
- Time-weighted stake exposure established — missing
- Cash, claims, trading and rewards reconciled separately — missing
- Current source coverage — missing
- Mint-rate decrease
- A reviewed mint-rate ratio falls past a chosen threshold.
- Queue payment
- A new canonical settlement credits cash. A smaller queue balance alone is not a payment.
- Stake-share dilution
- Your unchanged stake becomes a smaller share of total stake. Your own unstaking is excluded.
- Observed cost recovery
- Attributed staking income crosses a chosen cost-recovery threshold. This is not a forecast of future payback.