Recorded public API observations
Recording enabled- Recording started
- Last successful capture
- Last completed account scan
First-seen cohorts describe PaperDash capture dates, not account creation. Account pages change during scans; repeated passes may discover omitted wallets later. Historical events have source identities, not verified chain log coverage.
Reported account snapshots
First capture and latest capture, with each ledger concept kept separate.
| Reported amount | First capture | Latest capture |
|---|---|---|
| Balance (USDC) | $46.41 | $46.41 |
| Queued claims (USDC) | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| PAPER holdings | 0 | 0 |
| Reported realized PnL (USDC) | $0.00 | $0.00 |
Realized PnL is reported by the source; it is not derived from the balance difference or proof of cash paid. Holdings do not measure PAPER minted. Staking income is a separate stream.
Captured trading observations
Up to 200 captured closed-position records; not a lifetime result or strategy classification. PnL includes claims and is not paid cash.
- Captured trading PnL (USDC)
- Not reported
- Staking claims in displayed events (USDC)
- Not reported
- Captured closed trades
- 0
- Captured liquidations
- 0
- Median observed holding time
- Not available
- Median observed leverage
- Not available
- PAPER minted in captured trades
- Not reported
Observed opposing episodes
Same-wallet, same-instrument long/short intervals. An isolated overlap is a descriptive match, not evidence of farming intent, a hedge, or shared ownership with another wallet.
- Captured closed-stream records
- 0 / 200 maximum
- Unique opposing pairs
- 0
- Ambiguous groups
- 0
- Unmatched or excluded
- 0
- Open positions at last account capture
- 0
This is a partial sample of up to 200 closed records. Open positions, older records and missing counterpart legs cannot be matched here. Unmatched does not mean unhedged. No lifetime result is inferred.
No uniquely matched opposing pair in the captured sample.
Actual staking payback unavailable
Displayed staking claims are a bounded event sample. They cannot establish how much an episode has earned back. PAPER minted and reported trading PnL remain separate.
- Reconciled cash settlement
- Separate paid cash, queued claims and collateral for the episode. Reported PnL is not cash received.
- Complete stake and distribution history
- Establish when newly minted PAPER was staked and its share of each actual reward distribution.
- Attributable realized staking income
- Reconcile claims and outstanding distributed rewards to the episode instead of treating the latest 100 events as lifetime income.
- Complete activity coverage
- Resolve missing, open and ambiguous positions and source identities before measuring actual payback.
Matching method
For each instrument, an edge connects opposite-side closed records only when their opening-to-close intervals overlap for positive time. Only an isolated two-record component is matched. Larger components and conflicting source records remain ambiguous; each captured record is represented once. Version: isolated-opposing-overlap-v1.
Captured events
Public source events and their original capture times.
| Source event / time | Reported amount | Captured (UTC) | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credited depositSource kind: Deposit | $46.41USDC | View evidence
Route: robinhood. Status: not separately reported. Internal credit, not an independently verified bridge transfer. View source transaction |
This is a partial history view. The download contains a bounded snapshot of captured data, not the full archive.
Evidence coverage
Initial pass refers to available public API pages, not complete on-chain history.
| Stream | Initial page pass | Capture status | Last successful capture |
|---|---|---|---|
| cashflows | Completed | No pending pages reported | |
| queue | Completed | No pending pages reported | |
| staking | Completed | No pending pages reported | |
| trades | Completed | No pending pages reported |
Account observation history 1 captured snapshots
These are balance observations. Differences between rows do not establish deposits, withdrawals or PnL.
| Captured (UTC) | Balance (USDC) | Queued (USDC) | PAPER holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| $46.41 | $0.00 | 0 |
Study plan
Observe launch cohorts as they develop. A cohort is the UTC day a wallet was first captured by PaperDash, not its first on-chain activity. Membership stays fixed when a wallet withdraws, becomes inactive or disappears from a later account list.
Questions to follow
- Holding duration
- How do outcomes differ across observed holding periods?
- Leverage
- How do observed leverage levels relate to losses and claims?
- Paired exposure
- What happens when opposite positions overlap or one exits?
- Not yet classified
- Keep wallets without enough evidence in the population.
These are forward research questions. No wallet has been assigned a strategy or ranked by performance here.
Evidence before conclusions
Reported balances, realized PnL, paid cash, queued claims, PAPER holdings, PAPER minted and staking income remain separate. A balance change alone cannot establish a deposit, withdrawal or profit.
Public API pagination describes only the captured source responses. It does not establish complete on-chain history. Missing events, failed requests and unobserved periods remain coverage gaps.
Counterfactual replay unavailable
Replay needs reviewed, complete event and protocol-state coverage. The Compare scenarios calculator remains available for explicit hypothetical assumptions.